Former Fourth Overall Pick: Bust or Breakout Waiting to Happen?

When the Chicago Bulls selected Patrick Williams fourth overall in the 2020 NBA Draft, expectations were sky-high. His combination of size, athleticism, and defensive versatility made him look like a future cornerstone for the franchise. However, four years later, his development has been slower than expected. He averages around nine–10 points and four rebounds per game and has remained stagnant, and he often disappears offensively, even alongside the Bulls' emerging star Coby White. As the Bulls focus on resetting the standard for their young core, Williams’ inability to consistently assert himself is raising serious doubts about his long-term role.

Injuries have been a major factor in stunting Williams’ growth. A serious wrist injury during his second season, along with minor setbacks, robbed him of critical on-court experience. While health issues are understandable, the lack of noticeable improvement even when healthy is a growing concern. Instead of evolving into a dynamic two-way force, Williams has often settled into a passive, complementary role. For a player drafted in the top five, patience can only last so long before expectations must be met.

That said, there are still reasons for optimism with Williams’ future. He remains one of the Bulls’ best perimeter defenders, showing the ability to switch across multiple positions with ease. Offensively, his efficiency is nearly reaching 50/40/80 shooting splits, which hints that he can thrive in the right system. It's important to remember he was one of the youngest players in his draft class, and some players, like OG Anunoby or even early-career Kawhi Leonard, took time to fully blossom. With a more aggressive mindset and a coaching staff willing to empower him, Williams could still tap into his considerable potential.

Chicago’s front office faces a tough decision about whether to keep investing in Williams. As he nears a critical contract extension point, they must decide if he’s part of a future core with players like Coby White or better used as a trade chip. Betting on his upside is risky but understandable, given his rare skill set. However, based on current evidence, Williams looks closer to a high-end role player than a franchise centerpiece. The upcoming season could ultimately determine whether he becomes a late bloomer or another draft “what if.”